Is Bitcoin's 4-Year Cycle Still Alive?

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shard_2013Full Member
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#1Feb 7, 2026, 06:14 AM
So the buzz is that Bitcoin’s bear market is still kicking, according to some dude at Sigma Capital. But a 70% drop? I’m skeptical about that.
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pr0to88Member
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#2Feb 7, 2026, 12:29 PM
Nah man, I actually think the 4-year cycle is done. Feels like it's over already after this month.
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max365Newbie
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#3Feb 7, 2026, 03:53 PM
Seriously, don't get too tangled up with analysts, it’s all vague predictions. They often miss the mark on what really happens in the market.
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the_farmMember
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#4Feb 7, 2026, 05:40 PM
I get that. I don't see this bear market dragging us down too much. Still hopeful for new ATHs later this year, some analysts just spit out crazy predictions.
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dan51Senior Member
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#5Feb 8, 2026, 06:05 AM
Forget the emotions; let’s focus on real data. We've got numbers to back up our claims, no need for coin tosses.
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#6Feb 8, 2026, 11:46 AM
Could be a little while longer before we see a drop. I still have faith the cycle has some time left.
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fullnodeSenior Member
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#7Feb 10, 2026, 08:52 PM
From past bull runs, if it rises high, it’s bound to correct by 70% too. Could be a slow decline, not all at once, though. The cycle isn’t officially over.
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maxoracleMember
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#8Feb 11, 2026, 12:12 AM
I just won’t listen to the doom-and-gloom crowd. If I did, I’d be a bitter watch-from-the-sidelines kind of guy. BTC fundamentals feel strong to me.
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laser_nodeSenior Member
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#9Feb 11, 2026, 06:26 AM
Totally agree! Speculation is everywhere, but I don't sweat it. We’ve all seen the cycles come and go. Just stay focused on accumulating.
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hodlgangMember
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#10Feb 13, 2026, 03:02 AM
But honestly, it sounds like you’re a bit confused. If the cycle is over, why hasn’t it dipped below 100k?
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#11Feb 14, 2026, 08:39 AM
Every crash has its reasons and events behind it. No predicting the next bear market; it’ll all depend on what occurs.
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0xBitNewbie
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#12Feb 14, 2026, 11:37 AM
Yeah, if we’re still in bull run, a 50% drop seems unlikely now. The market’s kind of chill, waiting.
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#13Feb 14, 2026, 03:38 PM
I wouldn't count on anyone's predictions. Just because you're experienced doesn’t mean the cycle can’t change suddenly.
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#14Feb 14, 2026, 06:50 PM
I think something big needs to shake things up for a major crash. Probably not gonna see a 70% drop unless the economy tanks.
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atlas07Member
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#15Feb 14, 2026, 09:14 PM
I can see it both ways. But 2026 will be telling. Still not convinced we won't face another bear market.
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alt_foxNewbie
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#16Feb 15, 2026, 02:34 AM
I actually can’t wrap my head around a 70% drop either. Unless a major event happens, I think it’ll hold above 60k.
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coldshardMember
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#17Feb 15, 2026, 04:36 PM
Yeah, totally. Speculations come from those with money and influence. They get attention, but we still need to look closely ourselves.
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shard_2013Full Member
Posts: 268 · Reputation: 287
#18Feb 15, 2026, 06:14 PM
Everyone seems to forget BTC’s past behavior. It’s always been unpredictable, and that's why I stay careful!
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kevin_bridgeFull Member
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#19Feb 15, 2026, 10:33 PM
Look, people's opinions vary wildly. Speculators release wild estimates, but we gotta track what’s real, not just hype.
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#20Feb 16, 2026, 03:37 AM
I get your point. But with all this money in the market now, I think we might just see more gains before any drop.
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