Here’s a recap of Bitcoin's biggest drops over the years:
2011 ~94% Early bubble burst
2020 ~86% COVID crash
2018 ~81% After the 2017 bubble
2010 ~82% First exchange crash
2013/14 ~67-69% Mt. Gox collapse
2022 ~67% Luna/FTX mess
What do you think will happen in 2026?
Things feel pretty shaky right now. With all these trade wars and stuff, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a crash around 60% based on those stats. But honestly, expect the unexpected, right?
If 2026 turns out to be a bear year, it could really hinge on investor sentiment regarding Bitcoin's 4-year cycle. Historically, there’s usually a long bear market every four years. I'm guessing 2026 could be that year... but who knows?
Not sure what you’re expecting us to discuss since we’re talking about things that might not even happen. But yeah, if there’s a global war involving the US, Bitcoin will probably tank short-term but bounce back quick. I mean, look at the last tariff wars, everything was bleeding.
Exchange hacks are a constant threat, and I think that could definitely trigger another dip next year. Like, how many years have we gone without hearing about hacks? It's always a risk for anyone keeping coins on exchanges.
You can look at price corrections from various angles, like yearly max drops or market cycles. People who took big risks might panic now, but those with solid plans and long-term views? They’re feeling pretty chill.
If you check out the data, a pattern emerges. The percentage of crashes has been dropping, so we might see a smaller dip than before. 2025 isn’t shaping up how we thought it would, and 2026 might flip the script too.
In theory, as Bitcoin grows, bear markets should get milder. But it all depends on what causes the crash. If it’s just a centralized exchange failing, maybe it won’t be too bad. But if we hit a recession? Yikes, could be brutal.
More users mean higher acceptance, so that's a plus. But there’s a downside too. The cap is so high now, which means there’s still a lot of room for correction.