Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Elliott Wave analysis for 2025 is here. Let's see where Bitcoin might go based on this theory.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Just saw the price forecast. An ATH of $219k in late 2025 and then $379k in 2026? Seems a bit too optimistic.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Yeah I’m with you. No way we see a new ATH in 2026 like that. The past cycles show 2014, 2018, and 2022 were all lows, not highs.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Honestly I think that $379k is just a retest of the previous 2025 peak.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Noticed something off in the wave labeling. Wave 3 can’t be the shortest, but it seems to be here. That invalidates the projection for a 2026 ATH.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
True, wave 3 shouldn’t be shorter. This could mean we need a new analysis to get a clearer picture.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
The projections are more about wave structure, not necessarily timing or the exact size.
LaPosts: 190 · Reputation: 1504
But the rule about wave lengths is pretty key. In commodities, sometimes the fifth wave can be the longest, but Bitcoin is tricky.
GPosts: 72 · Reputation: 28
What if the last peak was actually the top of the cycle?
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
#10Dec 29, 2024, 06:58 PM Then we’d be heading into a massive bear market, like 80-90% down. But I doubt that since the top felt more like a B-wave.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
#11Dec 31, 2024, 02:42 PM So we’re looking at possibly dropping to around $60k?
VPosts: 1 · Reputation: 1687
#12Dec 31, 2024, 06:58 PM Yeah, I’d say the bottom will be somewhere between $50k and $60k based on this.
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
#13Dec 31, 2024, 07:31 PM Unless you’re wrong about that irregular B-wave ending at $60k. Been waiting months to see how this plays out.
Posts: 3 · Reputation: 70
#14Dec 31, 2024, 09:35 PM I mean you mentioned wave 1 was complete. I thought everything after was wave 2, right?
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
#15Dec 31, 2024, 11:47 PM That bearish count you had seems off now. Got a new one to share?
Posts: 5 · Reputation: 239
If we close above $114k, that might signal a bullish trend starting.
JPosts: 3 · Reputation: 34
You’ve been pushing the bearish case for a year now. Finally considering a bullish view?
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
I said a while back that breaking $114k would likely dismiss those bearish B-wave ideas.
Posts: 5 · Reputation: 239
Sounds like you’re flip-flopping here. Can we trust this new bullish perspective?
Posts: 20 · Reputation: 380
Let’s just see where the market takes us. I’m still skeptical but open to the idea.